Tropical Cyclone IDAI is continuing west-southwest over the central Mozambique Channel. As of 13 March at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 430 km west-northwest of Morondava City (Menabe Region, western Madagascar) and 550 km east-northeast of Beira City (Sofala Province, central Mozambique), with maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h.
As of 12 March, 15 people are reported dead (four in Zambezia Province and 11 in Tete Province).
IDAI is forecast to continue west-southwest and it is expected make landfall on 14 March as an intense tropical cyclone very close to Beira city, with projected maximum sustained winds of 180-200 km/h.
From 14-17 March, strong winds, heavy rain and storm surge could affect several districts of Zambezia Province (Chinde, Luabo, Inhassuge, Mopeia, Nicoadala, Maquival, Mocubela, Mulevala, Milange, Dere, Morrumala, Mocuba and Cidade de Quelimane) and Sofala Province. Heavy rain and strong winds could also affect northern Mozambique (Niassa, Cabo Delgado and Nampula Provinces).
The European Commission's Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated on 9 March following the heavy rains and floods. It has also been pre-tasked to acquire satellite imagery after IDAI makes landfall.